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Analytics & Tools

Under this programme of work, ESCAPE is developing and sharing innovative tools and methods which can make the most out of the data available during future pandemics. We are building a modelling and inference ecosystem - including risk assessments, real-time analyses, projections and scenario models - to understand and project the transmission dynamics of Pathogen X, as well as cataloguing statistical approaches to infer key epidemiological parameters. To ensure that advances in modelling and data assimilation are translated into practice, this workstream is developing a suite of digital tools and frameworks to support decision-makers in selecting mitigation and control measures.

Work package lead: 

National Institute of Public Health and Environment (RIVM)

Participants of the consortium:

Hasselt University (UH), National Institute of Health and Medical Research (INSERM), National Institute of Health Doctor Ricardo Jorge (INSA),

London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), University of Bern (UBern)

Tasks of the Work Package

Image by Myriam Jessier
1

Analytics and models for transmission dynamics: data assimilation

INSERM, RIVM, UH, INSA, UBern

2

Developing tools to monitor and plan effective responses for mitigation and control of the infection

UH, LSHTM, INSERM, RIVM

3

Key epidemiological characteristics

UBern, LSHTM, UH, RIVM, INSA

4

Comparing and selecting models for an effective response

RIVM, INSA, UH, UBern, INSERM

Output

Article

Assessing Dengue Virus Importation Risks in Africa: A Climate and Travel-Based Model

Article

Adaptive behavior in response to the 2022 mpox epidemic in the Paris region

Article

Nonparametric serial interval estimation

Article

Preserving friendships in school contacts: an algorithm to construct synthetic temporal networks for epidemic modelling

Article

Evaluating the COVID-19 responses of Belgium, Denmark, Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden and the United Kingdom, February-June 2020: A counterfactual modelling study
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